I'm going to say that between the temperature range of -50 F and 120 F that a human being might be out in, there will not be an appreciable difference in lead hardness.You might as well wonder if a cold barrel was tighter than a hot barrel.I wonder about 2" groups at 50 yards and think you need to look at what is causing that, rifle or bullets... and hardness would be way down on the troubleshooting list..